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In the third quarter of 2011, it has become obvious that many investors, mutual fund and hedge fund managers have ignored the role volatility plays in evaluating market risk. It is possible that they view it, if at all, as a dispersion model, not a harbinger of market direction. That is because rising volatility accompanied rising markets during the entire decade of the 90s, with… Continue reading
I have been an avid reader of Martin Armstrong’s Economic Confidence Model. In brief summary, there is the dumb money that follows the crowd while smart, or “hot money” is constantly looking for opportunities throughout the world. Hot money can be the bane of governments, just as George Soros made over a $billion in a single trade against the Bank of England. Hot money recognizes… Continue reading
Stocks worldwide have ended a miserable quarter. The plain fact is, there is more misery to come. Let’s take a look at one of the leading indicators of what may lie ahead of us.
– I have just updated the spreadsheets for the VIX cycles. It appears that they are on time and on target for their 13 year high which is due in early December.… Continue reading
Several subscribers have asked for more details about the Fukushima 50. The only thing I have is an article from the Mail Online News, a British publication. There has been no mention of them in any domestic media, other than Zero Hedge. One of our subscribers sent us a partial list of some of the workers that have volunteered their lives to save… Continue reading
It is with a heavy heart that I am now issuing the highest level alert to date for friends and clients. I am issuing this alert a week after the great earthquake and tsunami that occurred in Japan. Since then, four of the six nuclear reactors owned by Tokyo Electric Power Company have failed, sending a plume of radioactive material into the atmosphere. The situation… Continue reading
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